Sunday, December 10, 2006

How To Create Wealth In The Stock Market

First and foremost, an opportunistic strategy for creating wealth in the stock market is needed. And the opportunistic strategy for creating wealth in the stock market must have two ingredients, a plan and a goal. The plan must be a definite, concrete plan of investing that would profit you and your family for the rest of your lives.

This opportunistic investment plan you begin should not profit anyone else – not a stockbroker, a mutual fund or a financial advisor. This means you have to have confidence in yourself and in your own judgment as to whether the investment plan you begin has merit. And this means that the investment plan would and should have already been proven to you!

This definite, concrete plan you begin for creating wealth through opportunities in the stock market must also have a goal. The goal should be clear and specific, and once your have made up your mind to achieve that goal, then go forward and make that goal a reality.

What are the opportunistic traits of a strategic investment plan built on concrete that would actually allow the shareholder to profit through all the turmoil of an up and down stock market? The secret for creating wealth in the stock market; no matter what direction the market is heading?

As in what appears to be the most difficult investment question of all to answer, the answer lies in simplicity itself – investing in those companies that have a historical record of raising their dividend every year. Whether or not you can take this statement of fact to heart is your own judgment call. But it is this opportunistic trait that can and will create wealth for you and your family for the rest of your lives.

A company’s ability to raise its dividend every year, coupled with stock appreciation is a very powerful wealth creating formula!

I’m going to provide you with two examples, though there are many more, some with even better results. The two examples are from my book, soon to be published by American Book Publishing – The Stockopoly Plan (where an investment plan and a goal are written in stone).

The first example would be a stock purchased in 1990, Comerica (CMA). What led to the purchase of CMA? – In 1990 CMA had a 21 year history of raising their dividend every year. Today’s CMA has a 35 year history of raising their dividend every year. This opportunistic trait in CMA stock has garnished a little better than a 15 percent return a year, compounded annually (just by having the dividends reinvested back into the stock each quarter through those years – I prove this to you in The Stockopoly Plan), for the past 14 plus years. Today’s CMA stock just recently touched a new high at $60 dollars a share, with a dividend yield of around 3½ percent. In April of 2003 the stock was selling around $37.50 a share, paying a dividend yield of around 5% a year. Am I tempted to sell my position in CMA? Do I care if the stock drops from this lofty price back to $37 a share? Why should I? If the stock drops back to $37 a share, my dividends being reinvested back into the stock each quarter purchases more shares, and my dividend income from CMA simply and dramatically accelerates. I am also already prepared that if a buy-out offer is ever made for the company to reap the profits of owning the stock (as well as the possibility of another stock split).

The second example is (unfortunately) in my book, also. I say unfortunately because my book is in the final copy edit stage, so no one has had a chance to read and benefit from it, and since a buy-out offer was made for the stock last week or so, the stock will no longer exist (this means a rewrite for me, before publication). The company in question is the Rouse Co. (RSE), which was just purchased by General Growth Properties (GGP). Oddly enough, you’ll find GGP in my book, also – if you bother to pick it up. Anyway, that’s neither here nor there - RSE, on the takeover bid jumped over $16.00 a share in one day! Whew! Why couldn’t they have waited a couple of months until my book was released? RSE had the opportunistic trait of raising their dividend every year since 1993 and I was quite content with its performance through the years.

Well, that last paragraph blew my train of thought on this article. All I can think about at the moment is my rewrite.

I would like to take this time to explain something to you. I have never considered myself a writer nor am I a stock market professional. I am simply a man with 39 years of experience and a passion for the stock market, trying to share what wisdom those years have given me. When I sit down to write an article, I seldom have an idea on what I’m going to say. It was the same way when I sat down to write my book. I just meant to put down a few words on paper for my 18-year old son so he would have a sound, concrete plan for investing in those companies that make up the stock market (quite frankly – I didn’t want him to blow his inheritance). Whether you find merit in what I say, I have no idea. What I do know is that life is just too short to learn everything you need to learn by yourself, without the help of others.

There, now I’m satisfied with that ending!

For more excerpts from the book ‘The Stockopoly Plan’

The Great Stock Market Secret

When the stock market is going up and all your stocks and mutual funds are making money you feel like a genius. It is too bad that some folks don’t remember what happened in 2000. Of course, right now we are in one of those genius phases. Your broker and financial planner are encouraging you to buy, buy, buy. And I can’t fault that at this time. You remember back in 2000 how many times they told you to buy, buy, buy while the market was going down, down, down. Are we in another of those periods now that are leading up to a humongous crash? Hey, I don’t predict, but I do listen to the voice of the market.

The great Wall Street mantra is “buy a good stock and put it away”. Did you keep WorldCom and Global Crossing? Even if these were exceptions because of fraud a smart investor would not have lost any money. In fact he could have made a nice profit.But Al, they went under! Yes, I know, but the smart money still made out because they sold near the top.

As a former exchange member and floor trader I was not right every time I bought something and I especially did not like giving back nice profits that had accumulated. You don’t have to be psychic to know when to sell and don’t think you are going to be able to pick the top. A really smart trader waits for a stock or fund to start up and then jumps on it with both feet. When it starts down he jumps off looking for another equity that is going up. The wise trader knows he can’t buy the bottom and sell the top. What he wants is a big bite out of the middle.

When you make a sandwich most of the meat is in the center and a professional trader does the same with his trading. He wants to take a bite out of the middle of the move. You can do this too by looking for stocks, mutual funds or Exchange Traded Funds that have a nice upward pattern. As I said before buying is not the secret. Then what is?

You must learn to sell - for two reasons. First to protect your equity after your initial purchase and second to keep from giving back profits you have made as the equity advances. The great Wall Street secret is an exit strategy: knowing when to sell. Unless you learn to sell you will not be successful in the market. Brokerage companies do not want you to sell and rarely issue sell signals. You must decide how much you are willing to risk before you buy.

The simplest way is with a percentage stop loss order of 5%, 7%, 10%, 12%, whatever you can live with. Instruct your broker to place a trialing stop or you can change it yourself every week. Do not lower a stop.

Selling is the great secret you will never hear from your broker.

The 12 Rules of How to Avoid Losing and Start Making Money from the Stock Market


Make more money, this is the answer to most people.

If your reason is to make more money, then ask yourself these three questions:

1. Is your strategy making money?

2. Is your strategy safe?

3. How to increase the profit and minimize the risk?


Let say we invest some lower price stocks with just $1,000 in the stock market, invest twice a year for short-to-medium term. If each time the return is double, you will make one million dollar cash within 5 years. If your starting capital is $20,000, after 3 years you will make one million dollar cash.

If you are using the same $1,000 capital, invest twice a year, but the return is only 50%, you will make one million dollar cash after 9 years.

So we can always start small. However, it is very important that we know how to select high profit and low risk stocks.


Sitting and monitoring the market whole day long will not bring you profit. Instead, it increases pressure and misleads your judgment.


95% of the people always buy at the highest price. They don’t really know when to buy, just relying on news, rumors and tips. Only 5% of the people knows how to trade at the lowest price. That’s why 95% are losing money, only the 5% are making money.

Investment Builds Wealth, Gambling Definitely Lose !


News used to be able to predict the market trend. But not anymore, it is difficult to judge which news could actually influence the market nowadays.


Before investing, ask yourself these four questions:

1.How many people have already heard about the tips before you?

If many have heard about it before you, this news is already obsolete. The price is already high.

2.How long have the tips been spreading before it reaches you?

The next day?

3.Who told you?

Listed company director? Or friends?

4.Assuming that the tip is true, would you possibly know about it?

Normally insider news is not disclosed.


It is easier to be said than done.

Sell at a loss is a difficult decision. Your heart will object, and your feeling will say "It is going to rebound, don't sell." Eventually price dropped further, causing a much tragic lost.


How to protect your capital is much more important. Don’t try to make 100% profit. It is already good enough to have a 60% profit margin.


Everyone expects to make some money from the stock market before Christmas, New Year, annual budget announcement or election, but the stock market is not always bullish during these events. We can say history is not always repeated.

The best way is “Let the Market Lead us”.


There are only two rules to make money in stock market:

The first rule: Never lose your money.

The second rule: Never forget the first rule.


Don’t hold your stock too long, there is a value when stocks are sold.

How long have you been holding your stocks until now?

Since Year 1993? 1997? Or Year 2000?

Why didn't you exercise your stocks? Long term investment strategy is not practical anymore. Even the blue chips also crash when the market collapses.

The best strategy is to sell the stocks that are not earning money, and reselect some good counters. Buy low, sell high for several times will earn you more than enough to compensate the lost.


Stop investing if you are not sure of when to buy or sell.

Without the knowledge of investment, you are bound to lose again. This is an age of information. Investors are using knowledge, techniques and strategies to make money. Without investment knowledge, how do you protect your money?

Building wealth through investing starts with securing your capital.

Is Investing In The Stock Market Like Going To Las Vegas?

Some people say that there is no difference between investing in the stock market and gambling in Las Vegas. This is a happy fiction for casino owners, but unfortunate for casino gamblers. It means you might be tempted to "invest" in blackjack or poker, instead of stock or bond mutual funds. In this article, we compare the similarities and differences between casino gambling and stock market investing. Make up your own mind if they are the same kind of investment.

What casino games have in common is that the gambler has a very small chance of winning any single hand, be it roulette, blackjack, or slot machines. For instance, there are 38 numbers on a roulette wheel, and, if you bet on a given number, the rough odds of winning a single game is, 1 in 38, or 2.6%. This means, of course, that the casino has a whopping 97.4% probability of beating you! This is great for the casinos but not so great for attracting gamblers.

Fortunately for the casinos, the likelihood of winning or losing in the short term is not that clear at all. Wins and losses in any casino game follow a random sequence of winning streaks or losing streaks, which cannot be predicted in advance. A long sequence of losses (a losing streak) can bankrupt a gambler, while a long sequence of wins (a winning streak) can generate huge gains.

When a gambler gets on a losing streak, he attributes it to bad luck. But something in human psychology needs to attribute a winning streak to superior gambling skill, instead of just good luck. In reality, they are neither skill nor luck. Winning and losing streaks are demonstrably random, unpredictable events.

To understand this, consider a simple coin toss game, where everyone knows that there is a 50% probability of getting either heads or tails with each coin toss. But many people would be surprised to find that if they tossed the coin many, many times they could get a lucky streak of say, nine heads in a row. It’s hard to believe, but it’s true, and you can try it for yourself.

Toss a coin many times and write down the outcome; you will see that 4 to 9 successive heads or successive tails will occur pretty regularly. These sequences are a graphic demonstration of "streaks". If "heads" represent a win and "tails" a loss, we can see winning streaks and losing streaks even in a simple coin-toss game.

So you can see that there is a way to beat the casino if a gambler hits a "winning streak" of 4 to 9 consecutive wins, leaves the table, cashes out and runs. But if he gets on a "losing streak" he’d better pack it in, accept the loss, and leave the table immediately before more damage can be done.

Gambling is fine for someone who wants to play with cash for the entertainment value, but it is not for the investor who wants to make some serious money.

The odds of winning in the stock market are incredibly more favorable. During a bull-market of rising prices, your odds for making money on any given day are 66.7%! Contrast that with the 2.6% probability of winning at roulette! On the other hand, during a bear-market when prices are dropping regularly, you are likely to lose money 66.7% of the time. So even during a bear-market you are losing less than you would in a casino.

And just like in casino gambling, there will also be winning and losing streaks with many consecutive days where the money comes pouring in, and many consecutive days where the money just seems to evaporate.

But if you knew ahead of time the periods when a bull or bear market is likely, then you could make adjustments in how you invest, so that you could maximize earnings or conserve money and prevent losses.

For instance, if a bull-market is likely, you would invest in stock mutual funds, and then sit back and watch the 66.7% odds of success pull the portfolio higher. Conversely, if a bear-market is likely, you would pull the money out of the stock market and into the safety of Money Market funds, then sit back and watch the market get hammered with the 66.7% odds of losing.

This system works because Market Timing Indicators (see website listed below) can be used to predict whether the environment is favorable or not for future stock market gains. This is unlike casino gambling where there are no indicators and every round is unique, so that the odds of winning are unknown,

These ideas are the very essence of long-term market timing, as practiced by the author in his FREE newsletter at By side stepping the awful 2000-2002 bear market, and reinvesting near the bottom in June 2003, the simple one fund portfolio has grown to 411% of its original value in just over 11.5 years. This system beats a buy-and-hold approach hands down and has made 81% more profit.
NOTE: This is a clarification for my math and science savvy readers. The statistics used to calculate the odds have been intentionally simplified to make the article readable for the average non-technical reader. If you want a fuller explanation please email me at

Analyze Your Stocks And Double Your Profit

An investor buys a share of stock by resorting to various approaches that validate his investment by reaping rich profits. Before investing, however, it is necessary for a value investor to study the financials of a business, so that the stock he buys at the company’s intrinsic value promises a greater return at its liquidation value (the value of a company if all its assets were sold). A typical investor would buy growth stocks that have an upward trend, and seem likely to keep growing for a long time. Whereas, a technical investor (also known as a Quant) makes decisions based upon the psychology of the market and related factors, which involve much higher risk but may prove to be more profitable, or, can conversely result in much greater losses. The fundamental analysis of any business can depend on various factors: efficient market theory, value and growth, growth at a reasonable price and the quality of the business.

1. Efficient market theory pertains to stocks being always correctly priced, as all the requisite information is available on the current price.

2. The stock market sets up the price.

3. Analysts decide upon the value of a company based on the potential for its growth.

4. Price and value may not be equal, due to certain irrationalities governing the market.

Value investors need to rely on certain stringent rules governing the nature of the stock which adhere to the following criteria:

1. Earnings: company earnings are profits after taxes and interests.

2. Earnings per share (EPS): the amount of recorded income (on per share basis) available to the company to pay dividends to stockholders, or to reinvest in itself.

3. Price/Earnings Ratios (P/E) ratio (having a justified upper limit): If the company's stock is trading at $80 and its EPS is $8 per share, it has a multiple, or P/E of 10. This means that investors could expect a 10% cash flow return:

$8/$80 = 1/10 = 1/(PE) = 0.10 = 10%

If it's making $4 per share, it has a multiple of 20 (20 times $4 equals $80). In this case, an investor might receive a 5% return (in the same conditions);

$4/$80 = 1/20 = 1/(P/E) = 0.05 = 5%

However, a low P/E is not an untainted value indicator.

4. Price/Sales Ratio (PSR): is the same as a P/E ratio, except that the stocks are divided by sales per share instead of earnings per share.

5. Debt Ratio: percentage of debt a company has relative to the shareholder equity.

6. Dividend yields above a certain absolute limit.

7. Book value ratio: comparison of the market price against the book value of the stock per share.

8. Market capitalization value: Complete total value of a company’s outstanding shares (Market price per share ´ Total number of shares outstanding).

9. Equity Returns - ROE: Net income after taxes divided by owner’s equity.

10. Beta: comparison of volatility of the stock to that of the market.

11. Institutional ownership: percentage of a firm’s outstanding shares owned by certain institutions: insurance companies, mutual funds etc.

Learning to analyze one’s stocks and thus reaping the desirable profit is in fact a continuous process, as no amount of market efficient theories can ever predict a flawless financial return system. Even though one invests judiciously by studying the market, the over-valuation or under-valuation of stocks can often be determined by market emotions.

Using the Stock Market to Plan for Retirement

The stock market can be a powerful investment tool, especially if you're planning on making long-term investments. Unfortunately, the instability of the market can make many people hesitant to trust in it for financial planning. Despite this, if you're looking for a way to make plans for your eventual retirement you might want to set aside some of your mistrust for the market's instability and consider using the stock market as a tool for planning your retirement.

Below you'll find suggestions on how to best work the market to your advantage for long-term investment planning, as well as some basic information on common retirement plans that utilize stock investment.

Choosing Investments Carefully

One of the ways that you can maximize your investment so as to get the most out of your retirement is to take the time to carefully choose the stocks, bonds, and other market investments that you plan on putting your money into. This means that you should research the history of the various investments you consider making to determine whether or not the investment has a good potential as a long-term investment.

Examine the performance of the stocks and other investments that you're considering, making sure that you're choosing them because of their potential for future performance and not just because of how they have been performing in recent weeks.

Consider investing in companies that have been slow but steady performers over the course of several years, or those investments that deal directly with precious metals or other items that are not likely to suffer a drastic decrease in their value.


When choosing your investments, it's important to diversify your purchases by choosing stocks and other investments from a wide variety of market sectors and industries. Diversification is very important in long-term investing, particularly when the investment is designated to help pay for your retirement and sustain you through your retirement years.

By diversifying your investment portfolio, you can potentially avoid a serious drop in the value of your overall portfolio because of the poor performance of certain sectors or industries; the stocks and other investments in non-affected industries will likely continue to perform at their usual level (and may potentially rise), thus reducing the negative impact of the poor performance.

Watching Your Investments

It's important to keep an eye on your investments so that you can determine opportune times to purchase additional shares of certain investments or to sell shares of investments that are likely to suffer a long-term decrease in value. By keeping a close watch on your money, you can better take advantage of trends in the market and avoid potentially costly losses (or at the very least minimize your loss) that are based on the performance or scandals of the company that you are invested in.

Watching your investments is also a good way to get a feel for exactly how much your investments are worth, and to help make sure that they are worth that much if not much more when the time comes to cash in the investments and retire in comfort.

Common Investment Plans

Many employers now offer different types of investment packages as a part of their employee benefits packages. Stock options, 401(k) plans, mutual funds, and other investments may be available to you through your workplace; check with your employer to see if any company-sponsored investment plans can help you to meet your investment for retirement goals.

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